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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+5.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+8.49vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.10+2.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.48vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin4.10-0.65vs Predicted
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8Washington College4.25-2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Texas2.50+2.62vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.88vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24-1.76vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-3.87vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.14-1.27vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.47-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.14-6.28vs Predicted
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17Clemson University2.34-4.74vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-11.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.61Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.24Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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12.73Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.69Old Dominion University2.470.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
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12.26Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 8.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Shockey | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Baittinger | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.