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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+4.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+5.24vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.54+5.19vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.81+6.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.08+7.88vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51+1.17vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.10+1.85vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+1.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.92vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-1.92vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-4.05vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.13-0.59vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-4.61vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.38-7.26vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.67vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.45-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.96Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.88University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.85Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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10.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Morgan Watters | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Burke | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 27.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 23.9% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.