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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+5.62vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.73+4.34vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.74+3.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+3.00vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85+4.68vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+4.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01+2.24vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.50+3.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.08-1.25vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.17-6.02vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.84-2.20vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-5.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.31vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-0.66vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.01-6.82vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.20-3.34vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.6%1st Place
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6.34Boston College1.739.7%1st Place
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6.21Brown University1.7410.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University1.598.4%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.854.2%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College0.054.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University1.014.5%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University0.502.9%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.8%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College1.085.7%1st Place
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4.98Tulane University2.1714.3%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont0.844.0%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University1.437.4%1st Place
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13.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.9%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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13.66Harvard University-0.201.4%1st Place
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14.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Bobby Rielly | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Jack Flores | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 24.6% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.