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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Casey Klingler 12.1% 10.8% 12.9% 10.7% 8.9% 9.5% 8.8% 6.6% 5.2% 4.5% 3.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Greta Farrell 4.1% 7.3% 5.6% 5.5% 5.3% 7.4% 7.6% 6.7% 9.5% 8.0% 10.3% 9.1% 7.6% 6.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.5% 11.3% 9.5% 8.4% 9.2% 9.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 6.0% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7%
Caroline Downey 3.2% 4.0% 5.7% 5.1% 5.6% 5.1% 6.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.8% 10.0% 11.0% 11.8% 9.6%
Lindsay Doyle 5.6% 7.4% 7.2% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 7.4% 7.7% 10.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 5.4% 2.7%
Taylor Gavula 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.0% 7.5% 10.1% 7.8% 6.7% 6.9% 5.9% 5.0% 2.3%
Mary Paz 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 6.2% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 9.8% 8.2% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2%
Sarah Hermus 17.4% 15.0% 12.2% 11.5% 10.4% 7.1% 7.8% 5.2% 4.4% 3.9% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Hannah Steadman 13.2% 12.8% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6% 8.4% 9.3% 6.6% 6.8% 3.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Elise Gehling 5.7% 4.1% 5.4% 7.9% 7.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 9.2% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 3.8%
Emily Croteau 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 9.0% 12.1% 16.8% 20.3%
Janel DeCurtis 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.0% 5.5% 5.2% 7.0% 7.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.0% 13.1% 13.5%
Gwynie Dunlevy 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 3.6% 3.2% 4.8% 4.1% 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 15.0% 33.1%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.8% 5.4% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 6.9% 8.3% 9.6% 6.6% 11.0% 8.8% 7.6% 6.2% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.