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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.06vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+2.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+4.87vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.17vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.87vs Predicted
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72.44+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-3.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-3.88vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-2.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60-0.84vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-2.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.27-2.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.172.440.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.12Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.84Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.88Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Mary Paz | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Emily Croteau | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 20.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 33.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.