Race 1B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katharina (KB) Knapp 12.7% 12.3% 13.4% 9.7% 8.7% 11.2% 7.3% 6.6% 5.3% 4.2% 3.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Lily McGrath 11.5% 11.1% 8.9% 10.1% 9.3% 9.3% 9.6% 8.4% 7.6% 5.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.5% 1.0%
Lucy Wilmot 9.8% 11.9% 8.7% 9.9% 10.0% 8.3% 9.7% 7.4% 7.6% 6.4% 4.2% 2.9% 2.5% 0.7%
Annie Spence 5.0% 6.2% 7.2% 8.4% 6.3% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 8.8% 7.8% 9.4% 7.2% 5.6% 4.2%
Sophie Hibben 14.8% 18.1% 13.2% 12.8% 9.5% 7.9% 7.9% 5.0% 4.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Kelsey Shakin 9.3% 7.4% 9.0% 8.8% 10.8% 8.4% 6.9% 9.5% 7.2% 7.6% 4.6% 6.2% 3.4% 0.9%
Darden Purrington 4.0% 3.5% 4.6% 4.8% 5.4% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.8% 10.6% 11.7% 14.1%
Allison Cahn 5.2% 5.3% 7.3% 5.9% 6.8% 5.7% 6.4% 8.1% 7.7% 9.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.3% 7.1%
Sarah Caso 4.7% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.4% 4.7% 6.2% 6.1% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 9.9% 12.0% 10.2%
Delaney Bamford 9.1% 7.5% 8.8% 9.5% 9.2% 9.8% 8.5% 8.0% 7.6% 7.1% 7.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
Sofia Kirkman 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 5.8% 7.2% 6.8% 9.4% 8.7% 11.0% 13.7% 12.8%
Elena Gonick 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 3.9% 6.1% 6.7% 9.6% 12.9% 13.2% 26.6%
Julia Leighton 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.6% 7.4% 7.5% 9.7% 8.7% 8.2% 8.1% 9.0% 8.6% 5.6%
Emily Gonzalez 2.9% 2.8% 4.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 6.5% 5.4% 6.6% 11.0% 11.5% 15.1% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.