Race 2B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kelsey Shakin 9.1% 10.5% 9.5% 9.9% 7.5% 7.7% 10.4% 8.4% 7.1% 6.7% 4.5% 3.8% 3.2% 1.7%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 14.5% 11.8% 11.1% 11.5% 9.8% 10.2% 7.9% 7.7% 5.7% 3.4% 2.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.8%
Julia Leighton 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 7.0% 4.9% 6.9% 5.5% 9.4% 10.8% 9.5% 9.9% 8.2% 5.8%
Darden Purrington 2.5% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 4.5% 4.7% 6.4% 6.1% 6.7% 8.9% 9.3% 11.2% 13.5% 14.2%
Sophie Hibben 14.8% 18.3% 14.6% 11.1% 9.3% 8.8% 7.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 8.5% 9.3% 8.2% 8.3% 10.3% 9.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 5.1% 5.2% 4.1% 1.2%
Sofia Kirkman 3.4% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.1% 6.0% 4.9% 5.5% 8.5% 10.0% 8.6% 9.6% 12.1% 11.8%
Lucy Wilmot 11.4% 11.0% 9.3% 9.1% 10.6% 9.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.2% 6.4% 4.5% 4.1% 2.3% 0.6%
Annie Spence 6.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.9% 7.2% 9.2% 10.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.9% 8.6% 4.8% 3.7%
Lily McGrath 9.5% 8.4% 10.7% 11.0% 7.9% 10.2% 8.5% 8.3% 7.2% 6.0% 6.0% 3.2% 2.5% 0.6%
Emily Gonzalez 3.3% 2.5% 2.4% 4.0% 3.9% 6.0% 4.6% 5.8% 6.3% 7.3% 11.6% 10.3% 13.1% 18.9%
Allison Cahn 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 7.3% 6.5% 7.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 8.3% 7.8% 6.4%
Sarah Caso 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 8.0% 9.0% 7.5% 9.4% 11.1% 11.2% 9.5%
Elena Gonick 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 4.0% 3.2% 5.8% 5.6% 4.5% 6.1% 8.7% 11.1% 16.3% 24.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.