Race 4B

regis-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lily McGrath 10.5% 10.6% 10.5% 10.7% 9.8% 7.1% 9.4% 7.7% 6.6% 4.6% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1%
Delaney Bamford 9.6% 11.5% 7.0% 9.9% 7.8% 11.2% 9.1% 7.6% 8.8% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1%
Annie Spence 5.7% 6.5% 8.0% 5.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5%
Emily Gonzalez 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 8.0% 9.3% 11.8% 13.8% 17.1%
Kelsey Shakin 8.2% 7.2% 10.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.7% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 7.6% 5.4% 4.5% 3.2% 1.4%
Elena Gonick 2.2% 2.5% 1.7% 3.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.9% 12.0% 14.6% 27.4%
Allison Cahn 5.7% 6.6% 6.4% 4.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.7% 8.9% 7.9% 8.7% 9.0% 7.2% 5.1%
Sofia Kirkman 4.5% 3.5% 4.7% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 8.7% 8.0% 13.2% 11.8% 13.0%
Darden Purrington 3.6% 3.2% 2.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 6.6% 10.9% 10.4% 11.9% 14.6% 12.0%
Lucy Wilmot 9.1% 9.7% 10.5% 10.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.0% 8.2% 6.9% 6.7% 5.1% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 12.6% 11.0% 10.2% 11.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.7% 7.3% 5.4% 4.7% 4.3% 2.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Sarah Caso 3.5% 3.2% 4.8% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.9% 10.5% 8.9% 10.6% 10.9%
Sophie Hibben 17.9% 16.8% 13.0% 11.9% 11.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Julia Leighton 4.2% 5.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.8% 6.1% 8.7% 9.4% 8.5% 9.6% 7.9% 8.7% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.