Race 5B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katharina (KB) Knapp 13.5% 11.4% 12.4% 10.9% 10.0% 9.8% 8.1% 6.6% 4.4% 4.7% 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Annie Spence 6.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 9.3% 7.8% 8.7% 10.4% 5.8% 3.9% 3.8%
Sofia Kirkman 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.8% 8.9% 10.4% 11.1% 13.1% 12.3%
Delaney Bamford 8.0% 9.6% 9.2% 10.0% 7.8% 8.9% 9.4% 8.3% 7.5% 7.4% 6.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2%
Darden Purrington 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.7% 5.3% 4.9% 6.3% 5.3% 8.2% 8.0% 8.3% 12.2% 13.5% 14.7%
Julia Leighton 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 7.5% 7.5% 10.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.9% 9.2% 9.1% 7.4%
Kelsey Shakin 10.4% 9.4% 10.1% 9.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.8% 9.9% 6.7% 5.7% 4.7% 4.3% 2.9% 0.6%
Lucy Wilmot 10.1% 11.7% 8.8% 10.6% 9.6% 9.7% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 7.6% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.9%
Sarah Caso 4.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 4.9% 3.6% 6.9% 7.5% 9.7% 9.1% 8.7% 11.8% 11.0% 10.7%
Sophie Hibben 16.3% 15.8% 15.1% 10.6% 11.0% 9.2% 7.2% 4.8% 4.6% 2.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Allison Cahn 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.4% 8.5% 7.4% 10.3% 9.2% 7.7% 6.5%
Lily McGrath 9.5% 10.3% 9.7% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 9.8% 7.7% 7.7% 5.1% 4.8% 2.7% 2.9% 1.0%
Emily Gonzalez 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 3.3% 4.7% 4.2% 5.1% 4.5% 7.9% 9.4% 8.6% 12.0% 14.0% 15.9%
Elena Gonick 2.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 4.3% 4.1% 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 9.2% 10.9% 15.8% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.