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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+5.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+7.08vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.04vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.27+3.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-1.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.99+1.00vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.48-4.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-6.83vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.97-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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4.17Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 19.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 31.1% |
| Lily McGrath | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.4% |
| Annie Spence | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.