Race 8B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelsey Shakin 8.6% 8.1% 8.5% 10.6% 8.9% 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 7.7% 8.0% 6.5% 3.6% 1.9%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.4% 12.6% 10.6% 11.8% 11.0% 8.4% 9.6% 8.3% 5.7% 5.7% 3.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Darden Purrington 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 5.6% 7.5% 7.9% 10.4% 13.5% 17.4% 15.2%
Lily McGrath 9.8% 9.3% 10.7% 8.6% 11.0% 6.8% 9.8% 9.8% 8.6% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0%
Annie Spence 6.9% 5.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 8.5% 10.4% 10.4% 8.1% 8.4% 4.0%
Sofia Kirkman 4.2% 3.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 6.7% 8.5% 11.8% 13.1% 12.5% 15.2%
Emily Gonzalez 3.7% 3.1% 4.3% 2.8% 4.3% 6.1% 5.1% 5.0% 7.7% 9.2% 13.1% 16.5% 19.1%
Delaney Bamford 8.1% 9.3% 7.8% 10.2% 7.8% 10.8% 9.5% 10.4% 8.3% 7.0% 5.8% 3.7% 1.3%
Annie Hughes 11.5% 12.2% 12.6% 10.7% 9.6% 10.0% 7.5% 8.2% 7.0% 4.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Allison Cahn 5.9% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% 7.4% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 10.3% 8.3% 10.9% 10.7% 8.2%
Lucy Wilmot 10.9% 10.1% 11.5% 10.0% 9.0% 10.2% 9.9% 7.3% 7.3% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 1.1%
Sophie Hibben 15.5% 17.4% 12.8% 11.5% 11.3% 9.0% 7.4% 4.8% 4.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elena Gonick 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 5.6% 6.1% 8.7% 11.2% 17.3% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.