Race 9B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Hughes 12.4% 11.9% 12.8% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 9.7% 8.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Lily McGrath 9.1% 10.0% 8.8% 10.8% 10.0% 10.5% 8.9% 9.1% 6.7% 7.0% 5.4% 2.1% 1.6%
Darden Purrington 3.1% 2.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 11.2% 13.2% 16.0% 15.6%
Kelsey Shakin 7.7% 8.9% 9.1% 10.2% 9.0% 8.4% 8.1% 11.1% 7.6% 8.8% 6.6% 2.4% 2.1%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 12.5% 12.4% 11.5% 10.7% 10.1% 9.5% 9.0% 7.4% 6.6% 4.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6%
Allison Cahn 5.8% 4.4% 5.6% 6.3% 6.2% 8.4% 6.8% 7.9% 11.6% 9.9% 9.8% 9.8% 7.5%
Sofia Kirkman 4.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.2% 10.3% 12.7% 15.2% 14.7%
Lucy Wilmot 10.3% 10.3% 9.5% 9.3% 11.3% 8.7% 9.3% 10.7% 7.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.0%
Sophie Hibben 16.2% 15.8% 14.1% 12.7% 9.2% 9.7% 6.7% 5.4% 4.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Delaney Bamford 9.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.5% 9.7% 6.1% 8.9% 8.2% 5.6% 4.5% 2.2%
Elena Gonick 2.1% 1.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 4.9% 7.4% 8.6% 12.2% 15.7% 28.2%
Emily Gonzalez 2.7% 3.0% 2.5% 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 4.9% 8.3% 8.6% 11.8% 19.6% 20.4%
Annie Spence 4.5% 6.7% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.2% 9.1% 9.4% 11.2% 8.6% 10.8% 8.2% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.