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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University0.70+9.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.73+4.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+4.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08+4.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.84+2.82vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.03-2.27vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85+0.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.17-5.08vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.44+0.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-2.33vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.01-3.81vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.50-3.56vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.59-8.74vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-2.37vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46Harvard University0.703.9%1st Place
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6.41Boston College1.739.5%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University1.437.0%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College1.084.3%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.6%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.628.8%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont0.844.2%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.0311.6%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.854.7%1st Place
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4.92Tulane University2.1715.8%1st Place
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11.76Bowdoin College0.442.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.013.8%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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13.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University0.502.9%1st Place
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7.26Yale University1.598.1%1st Place
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14.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.7%1st Place
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15.05Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Alex Lech | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Kulas | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Bobby Rielly | 15.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.