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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+6.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+10.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+5.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.63+4.62vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.58+3.87vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+3.51vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.91-0.46vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.70-0.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23+0.79vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.72-2.51vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.17-5.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-1.36vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-4.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.92vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.06-4.76vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.11-5.83vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.79-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.36Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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10.79Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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12.15U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| William Bowman | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Cameron Hall | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| John Stokes | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| James Allsopp | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.