Race 10B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharina (KB) Knapp 11.6% 12.0% 11.9% 9.8% 10.7% 10.2% 9.4% 7.0% 6.0% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Lily McGrath 9.6% 8.9% 10.0% 9.7% 11.7% 8.7% 8.9% 8.0% 7.8% 8.4% 4.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Lucy Wilmot 8.8% 9.0% 11.9% 9.2% 9.1% 10.7% 9.7% 9.0% 7.7% 7.1% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9%
Darden Purrington 3.2% 2.4% 3.0% 5.1% 4.7% 5.6% 5.3% 7.1% 9.6% 9.0% 13.0% 17.1% 14.9%
Annie Hughes 12.6% 13.6% 11.5% 10.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.2% 8.8% 5.9% 4.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Sophie Hibben 17.1% 15.7% 13.3% 12.2% 11.9% 7.0% 7.2% 5.2% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Delaney Bamford 10.6% 8.7% 8.0% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 9.0% 8.3% 9.6% 6.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.4%
Kelsey Shakin 8.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.2% 8.6% 9.9% 8.4% 11.1% 7.7% 6.7% 6.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Elena Gonick 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 2.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 9.4% 12.0% 17.1% 30.4%
Allison Cahn 5.2% 5.4% 4.9% 5.8% 5.9% 7.9% 8.0% 7.3% 10.0% 10.2% 12.0% 9.0% 8.4%
Annie Spence 5.6% 6.1% 7.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.9% 11.1% 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 7.1% 4.5%
Sofia Kirkman 2.5% 3.8% 3.1% 5.1% 5.6% 4.7% 5.1% 6.4% 8.5% 11.0% 11.3% 16.8% 16.1%
Emily Gonzalez 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 10.4% 13.7% 15.4% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.