Race 1A

saisa-sp4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Daniel Lawless 15.0% 18.6% 22.1% 18.5% 13.3% 8.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Michael Sanandajian 15.5% 17.3% 19.6% 19.0% 14.0% 9.3% 4.6% 0.7%
David Beaudry 4.5% 7.9% 9.4% 9.6% 15.6% 21.6% 19.6% 11.8%
Max Thompson 9.9% 14.7% 16.1% 17.9% 19.1% 13.3% 7.2% 1.8%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 44.6% 26.0% 15.5% 9.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Geoffrey St. John 6.6% 9.0% 11.2% 15.2% 17.2% 19.1% 14.4% 7.3%
Rafael Melendez 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 5.7% 8.5% 13.0% 25.5% 38.8%
Toby Perelmuter 1.5% 3.7% 2.8% 5.0% 8.6% 14.8% 24.9% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.