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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.40+2.39vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.39+3.52vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.56+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08-1.02vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38-2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.29-1.66vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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2.08Jacksonville University3.430.4%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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4.82Eckerd College1.560.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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6.41Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sanandajian | 15.8% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 43.4% | 27.2% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Toby Perelmuter | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 24.5% | 40.9% |
| Geoffrey St. John | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 6.3% |
| Max Thompson | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 14.2% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| David Beaudry | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 13.7% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.