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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.68+3.47vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.33+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.25+2.83vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.15-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.70-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.30-1.73vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.08-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University2.330.2%1st Place
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4.28University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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6.83University of South Florida0.250.0%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.47University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Florida1.300.1%1st Place
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3.66Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Peterson | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.8% |
| Andre Guaragna | 20.9% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 13.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Charlotte Samson | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 57.1% |
| Peter Steo | 14.8% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Smith | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 7.4% |
| Zachary Boogaart | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 16.8% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 18.4% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.