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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.58+8.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+10.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+5.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.01vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+3.67vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+4.57vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.90+0.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+2.40vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-1.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.70-1.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.72vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.92+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.11-2.16vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-4.44vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.17-8.56vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.79-3.61vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.06-6.70vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston3.72-11.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.26Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.67Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.4Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.45Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.69Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.39U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Glackin | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| James Simmons | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| William Bowman | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Haley Powell | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 16.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| John Stokes | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| James Allsopp | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 18.2% |
| Eric Decesar | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.