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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.03+4.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.68vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+3.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.73+2.05vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.50+6.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.01+3.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.70+3.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01+1.01vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59-2.28vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.08-1.49vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.81-1.30vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.44-0.48vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.43-5.68vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+0.16vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85-5.59vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.84-6.24vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.18vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Brown University2.0312.3%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.9%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.0%1st Place
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6.05Boston College1.7311.3%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University0.503.1%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.015.1%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University0.704.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston University1.015.2%1st Place
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6.72Yale University1.598.8%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College1.085.8%1st Place
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9.7Tulane University0.814.0%1st Place
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11.52Bowdoin College0.442.8%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University1.438.6%1st Place
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14.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.4%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.854.5%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont0.843.5%1st Place
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13.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
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14.85Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martins Atilla | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Kulas | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Lech | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Jack Flores | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 26.1% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.