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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+1.66vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+2.91vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37-1.07vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.74+1.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50-0.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97-3.13vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.09-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of South Florida2.730.2%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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1.93College of Charleston3.370.5%1st Place
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5.8Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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4.58Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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6.67Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 24.0% | 29.6% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 7.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 45.9% | 29.7% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 22.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 6.3% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 4.7% |
| Kara Wheeler | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 10.8% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Sellers | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.