← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.37+0.95vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University0.85+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.30+1.84vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.74+1.80vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.73-2.30vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.50-1.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.97-3.14vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.09-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.95College of Charleston3.370.5%1st Place
-
5.65North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
-
4.84Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.8Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
-
2.7University of South Florida2.730.2%1st Place
-
4.53Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
-
3.86University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
6.68Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 46.1% | 28.3% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| Shaynah True | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
| Abbie Probst | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 25.4% | 20.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 23.2% | 27.7% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 10.8% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Sellers | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.