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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+7.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+6.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+7.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+3.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+4.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+0.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.79+5.28vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.63+0.64vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.70-0.59vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+2.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.06+0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93+0.10vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.91-5.52vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.72-5.94vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.58-6.11vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-6.12vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-7.42vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.11-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.41Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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12.07Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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10.58Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| John Stokes | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Allsopp | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.7% |
| Eric Decesar | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 15.7% |
| William Bowman | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Hall | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.