← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+5.50vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.73+4.14vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.01+6.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.84+5.59vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.59+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University0.70+4.35vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.08+1.68vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85+0.37vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.43-2.76vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.01-1.87vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University0.81-2.26vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.03-7.58vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.50-3.08vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College0.44-3.35vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.42vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.08vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.0%1st Place
-
6.14Boston College1.7310.3%1st Place
-
9.04Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
-
9.59University of Vermont0.844.0%1st Place
-
6.71Yale University1.599.3%1st Place
-
10.35Harvard University0.704.0%1st Place
-
8.68Dartmouth College1.086.0%1st Place
-
7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.5%1st Place
-
9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.854.8%1st Place
-
7.24Tufts University1.437.8%1st Place
-
9.13Tufts University1.015.2%1st Place
-
9.74Tulane University0.814.1%1st Place
-
5.42Brown University2.0313.1%1st Place
-
10.92Northeastern University0.502.6%1st Place
-
11.65Bowdoin College0.442.7%1st Place
-
13.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.6%1st Place
-
14.92Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.2%1st Place
-
14.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 35.8% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.