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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.82vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+2.78vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+2.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+0.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.37+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.31+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23-2.98vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.51+2.33vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.53-0.55vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.00-2.68vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.23vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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4.78Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.59George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.04Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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4.65Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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12.33Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.45Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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9.32Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.11Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Haley Collins | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 34.8% | 33.8% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 7.3% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 23.9% | 53.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.