Race 4A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Julia Gowell 3.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.9% 5.3% 5.5% 7.5% 9.8% 10.3% 13.6% 13.2% 11.5% 5.0% 1.6%
Molly Pleskus 9.1% 9.8% 9.4% 9.5% 9.6% 10.6% 9.5% 10.8% 8.1% 7.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 13.0% 11.9% 12.3% 10.3% 12.4% 8.7% 10.5% 7.5% 6.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma White 17.5% 16.4% 14.7% 13.3% 10.5% 9.9% 5.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Kraus 3.1% 5.1% 6.1% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.2% 9.1% 11.1% 12.7% 11.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6%
Gabby Rizika 14.1% 13.2% 14.7% 12.2% 9.0% 10.6% 7.7% 6.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Bailey Carter 14.4% 12.7% 12.5% 11.6% 12.2% 9.1% 9.4% 7.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Brown 4.0% 4.1% 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 6.2% 6.4% 9.5% 9.6% 13.4% 13.5% 11.5% 5.9% 0.6%
Aitana Mendiguren 9.1% 9.7% 7.4% 12.2% 10.4% 11.6% 11.4% 7.8% 8.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Jessica Kurlander 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 3.8% 8.9% 24.4% 54.1%
Natalie Tanczak 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 1.5% 2.9% 3.5% 6.2% 6.4% 9.1% 15.0% 22.6% 19.3% 6.7%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 10.6% 11.8% 15.8% 18.3% 8.6% 2.6%
Olivia Windemuller 7.9% 8.9% 8.0% 8.2% 10.5% 9.6% 11.0% 9.4% 9.6% 7.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Haley Collins 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 0.8% 2.2% 2.7% 3.9% 9.1% 11.6% 31.8% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.