← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.08+7.68vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University0.70+8.25vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.60vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University0.81+5.49vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.03-0.45vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.73-0.96vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College0.44+3.49vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.59-2.09vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.50+1.18vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.43-3.90vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.01-2.82vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.84-3.23vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85-4.67vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-0.45vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.30vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.01-8.15vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.68Dartmouth College1.086.2%1st Place
-
10.25Harvard University0.703.4%1st Place
-
7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.0%1st Place
-
9.49Tulane University0.815.0%1st Place
-
6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.6%1st Place
-
5.55Brown University2.0312.6%1st Place
-
6.04Boston College1.7311.5%1st Place
-
11.49Bowdoin College0.442.4%1st Place
-
6.91Yale University1.597.8%1st Place
-
11.18Northeastern University0.503.2%1st Place
-
7.1Tufts University1.438.5%1st Place
-
9.18Tufts University1.015.2%1st Place
-
9.77University of Vermont0.844.8%1st Place
-
9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.855.2%1st Place
-
14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.6%1st Place
-
13.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
-
8.85Boston University1.015.1%1st Place
-
14.84Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Sheppard | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| William Kulas | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martins Atilla | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Jack Flores | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack Guinness | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 26.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.