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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+10.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+5.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+5.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.23+6.35vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.58+3.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+4.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17-0.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-1.49vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63-1.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-2.76vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.06-0.45vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.70-4.70vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-4.46vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.72-6.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.79-3.55vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.11-6.87vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.92-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.89University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.35Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.98Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.3Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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12.45U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| John Stokes | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| William Bowman | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Eric Decesar | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Ike Babbitt | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Cameron Hall | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| James Allsopp | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 18.1% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.