Race 5A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gabby Rizika 14.5% 15.3% 14.2% 12.4% 10.5% 10.0% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 10.8% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 8.3% 10.8% 11.1% 10.6% 6.3% 5.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Emma White 19.1% 17.0% 13.3% 13.9% 9.6% 9.7% 7.5% 4.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 11.2% 11.9% 12.9% 11.6% 13.1% 8.5% 9.9% 7.1% 6.0% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 7.0% 7.0% 10.2% 8.9% 11.6% 10.5% 10.8% 9.1% 9.3% 7.4% 5.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 8.0% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 10.4% 8.5% 11.6% 10.1% 10.1% 7.9% 6.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 3.3% 4.1% 5.0% 6.4% 5.2% 5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 12.7% 15.1% 10.9% 4.5% 1.2%
Bailey Carter 12.9% 13.1% 12.1% 10.2% 10.5% 11.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.3% 3.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.6% 6.8% 8.8% 14.6% 16.0% 17.3% 9.8% 1.8%
Natalie Tanczak 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 5.7% 7.0% 10.1% 12.7% 23.1% 18.4% 8.7%
Madeline Kraus 4.7% 5.0% 4.3% 6.5% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 12.2% 11.7% 9.4% 8.5% 2.8% 0.1%
Jessica Kurlander 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 10.3% 23.4% 54.1%
Samantha Brown 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 6.3% 6.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.4% 13.5% 10.3% 4.6% 1.4%
Haley Collins 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 7.8% 11.3% 33.8% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.