Race 6A

susan-rogers-75

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma White 17.3% 19.3% 15.4% 11.0% 10.1% 9.2% 7.6% 3.2% 3.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Aitana Mendiguren 10.5% 10.5% 12.0% 9.7% 9.0% 10.5% 9.6% 11.5% 7.1% 4.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 4.1% 3.5% 3.7% 4.8% 6.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 12.5% 12.7% 14.9% 13.2% 5.4% 0.4%
Gabby Rizika 13.7% 12.8% 14.3% 11.9% 12.9% 9.3% 8.1% 8.0% 3.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Bailey Carter 10.8% 11.3% 12.7% 13.7% 11.2% 10.8% 9.2% 8.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeline Kraus 5.0% 4.1% 4.3% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 10.2% 9.9% 11.5% 11.4% 11.1% 7.0% 3.9% 0.3%
Samantha Brown 3.8% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 5.7% 7.1% 9.7% 10.9% 12.3% 14.1% 10.6% 3.5% 0.8%
Molly Pleskus 8.8% 9.7% 9.4% 8.5% 9.2% 9.9% 10.6% 9.3% 9.3% 8.2% 3.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Katherine O'Donnell 2.8% 2.4% 2.8% 2.3% 4.1% 5.1% 5.2% 6.7% 9.1% 14.4% 16.1% 16.1% 11.3% 1.6%
Haley Collins 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 3.9% 5.8% 12.8% 31.3% 36.5%
Adelaide Ferguson 12.8% 10.1% 11.2% 13.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.3% 8.0% 6.9% 3.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Natalie Tanczak 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 4.8% 6.7% 10.6% 15.6% 21.5% 17.7% 7.5%
Olivia Windemuller 8.0% 9.2% 6.8% 8.9% 9.9% 11.1% 10.2% 10.8% 9.2% 7.2% 4.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Jessica Kurlander 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.6% 9.7% 24.6% 52.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.