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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+2.99vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.69vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.00+6.21vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.51+8.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.37+2.39vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-1.60vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61-3.04vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-4.38vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.31-1.43vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.53-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.50vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.23vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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4.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.21Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.31Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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5.4George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.62Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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10.46Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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7.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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12.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.08Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 18.0% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Haley Collins | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 31.1% | 35.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 9.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 7.3% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 25.3% | 51.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.