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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+2.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+3.09vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.82vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.82+2.16vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+0.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.20-2.17vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.66-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.27-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-1.81vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.91+1.57vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.23-2.67vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.28-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Dartmouth College3.060.3%1st Place
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5.09Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.16Queen's University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.6Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Vermont2.200.1%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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12.57Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.98SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.33Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 28.1% | 23.3% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mackenzie | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Abigail Finkenauer | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Julia Downey | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 49.7% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 28.9% | 31.2% |
| Susan Riley | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 8.9% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.