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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+5.99vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.73+3.96vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.44+8.35vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08+4.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.37vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85+3.37vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.70+3.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.03-3.44vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.84-0.35vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-4.22vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.81-2.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-3.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+0.22vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.50-4.02vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.51vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.01-7.90vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.95-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Tufts University1.437.9%1st Place
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5.96Boston College1.7312.6%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College0.443.2%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College1.085.0%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.8%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.854.9%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University0.703.6%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.5%1st Place
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5.56Brown University2.0312.2%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont0.845.3%1st Place
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6.78Yale University1.599.8%1st Place
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9.82Tulane University0.813.8%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University1.014.5%1st Place
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14.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.1%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University0.503.2%1st Place
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13.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.8%1st Place
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9.1Boston University1.015.1%1st Place
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15.62Maine Maritime Academy-0.950.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Kulas | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Guinness | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 23.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Becker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.