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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+7.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+9.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+7.65vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90+3.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+1.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+4.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.91-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.11+1.88vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.72-1.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.63-2.25vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+1.44vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-5.20vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-4.66vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.70-6.74vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-4.29vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.58-8.01vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.79-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.65Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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8.26Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| James Simmons | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| John Stokes | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| William Bowman | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 27.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ike Babbitt | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Haley Powell | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| James Allsopp | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.