← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.72vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.11+3.09vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.06+0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.20+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.52+2.08vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University0.23+4.47vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.04-1.73vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.66-1.47vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia1.27-1.29vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University1.82-4.84vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University-0.91+0.54vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University0.28-2.80vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
-
5.09Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
3.04Dartmouth College3.060.3%1st Place
-
5.13University of Vermont2.200.1%1st Place
-
7.08Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.47Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.27Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.53George Washington University1.660.1%1st Place
-
7.71University of Virginia1.270.1%1st Place
-
8.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.16Queen's University1.820.1%1st Place
-
12.54Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
-
10.2Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 27.8% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Finkenauer | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Susan Riley | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 10.0% |
| Grace Howie | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Julia Downey | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Mackenzie | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 22.5% | 48.7% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 2.1% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 8.6% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 27.9% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.