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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.20+4.04vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.64vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06-0.91vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.27+1.82vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.66-0.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.28+2.18vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.82-2.85vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-3.00vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.00vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.23-1.61vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.91-0.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04University of Vermont2.200.1%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.28Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.09Dartmouth College3.060.3%1st Place
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5.66Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.31George Washington University1.660.1%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.15Queen's University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.39Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.44Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail Finkenauer | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 26.9% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 8.9% |
| Jennifer Mackenzie | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 29.2% | 30.8% |
| Susan Riley | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 9.6% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 22.8% | 47.0% |
| Julia Downey | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.