Race 10B

susan-rogers-75

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Mackenzie 7.1% 9.4% 9.5% 9.6% 11.2% 8.2% 10.0% 9.6% 8.5% 7.2% 4.4% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Sebby Turner 10.3% 11.6% 13.3% 11.0% 10.3% 11.4% 9.0% 7.9% 6.5% 3.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Audrey Giblin 28.5% 21.9% 15.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Downey 4.0% 3.0% 5.6% 5.7% 5.2% 7.7% 7.1% 9.7% 12.3% 12.9% 10.7% 9.8% 5.1% 1.2%
Anna Louise Devanny 4.0% 4.2% 6.7% 5.5% 6.9% 8.2% 8.4% 9.6% 11.1% 12.5% 10.7% 7.2% 4.2% 0.8%
Abigail Finkenauer 10.8% 11.8% 10.1% 12.8% 11.5% 10.2% 10.0% 6.5% 6.0% 5.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Susan Riley 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 6.5% 3.4% 5.9% 10.4% 13.5% 18.8% 19.0% 7.5%
Sarah Alexander 7.5% 8.4% 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 8.8% 9.4% 10.5% 9.5% 7.9% 9.1% 4.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Charlotte Lenz 6.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 8.4% 10.2% 9.3% 10.4% 12.1% 9.8% 8.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Catalina Feder 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 2.5% 5.0% 11.7% 21.1% 50.7%
Grace Howie 9.3% 9.6% 11.5% 10.1% 10.6% 10.6% 9.1% 9.3% 8.0% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Christine Moloney 7.3% 9.2% 10.2% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 8.0% 6.6% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4%
Samantha Mislinski 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 5.9% 7.1% 13.3% 28.5% 30.6%
Jocelyn Rovniak 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 16.2% 19.5% 16.1% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.