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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.95+3.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+0.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.57+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78-1.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72-0.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83-1.53vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.31-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Tufts University3.040.5%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.72Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.47Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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6.2McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 47.6% | 26.9% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pere Puig | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| Jessica Williams | 12.9% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Savage | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 12.5% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Wright | 4.9% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 21.7% |
| William Manning | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 19.2% |
| Malich Altman | 2.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.