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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+0.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95+1.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57-0.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-0.61vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72-1.35vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.31-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Tufts University3.040.5%1st Place
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3.74Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.39Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.17McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 47.5% | 27.6% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Williams | 12.7% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 12.5% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Pere Puig | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 15.4% |
| Andrew Savage | 10.0% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| William Manning | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| Samuel Wright | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 23.2% |
| Malich Altman | 2.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.