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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.79vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+0.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95+1.23vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.31+1.28vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-0.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.57-2.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Tufts University3.040.5%1st Place
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3.79University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.75Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.28McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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5.36Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.14Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 46.8% | 28.5% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 12.0% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Jessica Williams | 12.8% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Pere Puig | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| Malich Altman | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 37.4% |
| William Manning | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| Andrew Savage | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Wright | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.