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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.79+2.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.95+3.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+0.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.57+0.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04-3.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72-0.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83-1.54vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.31-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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1.99Tufts University3.040.5%1st Place
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5.56Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.46Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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6.2McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Williams | 13.2% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Pere Puig | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 12.8% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Savage | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Alp Rodopman | 47.2% | 26.1% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wright | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
| William Manning | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 18.8% |
| Malich Altman | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.