← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.78+7.20vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.92+9.93vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.90+4.69vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University4.17+2.38vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+3.96vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.72+2.27vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.80+0.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.93+3.58vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.63-0.46vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.58-0.91vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.11+0.01vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College3.70-3.37vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.23-2.81vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.54-2.19vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.91-8.60vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.21-7.49vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-9.09vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Naval Academy2.79-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.2Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
11.93Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.69Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
-
6.38Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.27College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.89Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
11.58University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.54Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.09Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
-
11.01University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
-
8.63Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.19Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
-
12.81Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.4Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
-
10.51Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
-
12.03U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Haley Powell | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| John Stokes | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| James Simmons | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 22.9% |
| William Bowman | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| James Allsopp | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.