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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+5.56vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.70+8.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.73+2.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08+4.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.03+0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+0.89vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.44+4.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.42vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59-2.18vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.50+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.84-1.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+1.75vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.81-3.40vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85-4.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.01-5.85vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.01-7.20vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.95-1.55vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.628.9%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University0.703.8%1st Place
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5.93Boston College1.7311.7%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College1.086.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.0312.7%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University1.438.9%1st Place
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11.63Bowdoin College0.442.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.6%1st Place
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6.82Yale University1.598.9%1st Place
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11.0Northeastern University0.503.5%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont0.843.9%1st Place
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13.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.2%1st Place
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9.6Tulane University0.814.3%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.853.9%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.014.5%1st Place
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8.8Boston University1.015.9%1st Place
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15.45Maine Maritime Academy-0.950.9%1st Place
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14.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Alex Lech | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| Ryan Ehnot | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Becker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 42.3% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.