← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.47+1.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.19vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.98-0.45vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-1.92-0.08vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.27-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.09Connecticut College2.470.4%1st Place
-
2.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.3%1st Place
-
2.55Connecticut College1.980.2%1st Place
-
4.92Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
-
3.24Connecticut College1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 37.4% | 29.4% | 20.1% | 12.8% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 31.7% | 31.0% | 23.5% | 13.7% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 20.7% | 25.0% | 34.1% | 19.1% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 95.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 10.2% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 51.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.