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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.34vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.47+0.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.76-0.13vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98-2.35vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.92-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.3%1st Place
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2.19Connecticut College2.470.3%1st Place
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2.87Connecticut College1.760.2%1st Place
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2.65Connecticut College1.980.2%1st Place
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4.94Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 30.1% | 25.5% | 25.1% | 18.7% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 33.5% | 28.9% | 23.3% | 14.0% | 0.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 16.6% | 19.5% | 25.0% | 37.9% | 1.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 19.4% | 25.7% | 26.2% | 27.5% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 96.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.