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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.33vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.47+0.20vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98-0.34vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.76-1.12vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.92-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.3%1st Place
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2.2Connecticut College2.470.3%1st Place
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2.66Connecticut College1.980.2%1st Place
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2.88Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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4.94Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 30.2% | 26.2% | 24.4% | 18.7% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 33.8% | 27.5% | 24.4% | 14.0% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 21.0% | 23.5% | 25.2% | 29.6% | 0.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 14.7% | 22.3% | 25.5% | 35.8% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 96.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.