← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.47+1.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.20vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.98-0.44vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.27-0.77vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University-1.92-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.09Connecticut College2.470.4%1st Place
-
2.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.3%1st Place
-
2.56Connecticut College1.980.2%1st Place
-
3.23Connecticut College1.270.1%1st Place
-
4.93Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 36.6% | 29.6% | 22.0% | 11.5% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 31.8% | 29.9% | 25.7% | 12.1% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 22.1% | 25.4% | 27.9% | 24.0% | 0.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 9.2% | 14.5% | 23.9% | 49.4% | 3.0% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 3.0% | 95.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.