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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.85+2.27vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.11vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+0.72vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.11-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.70-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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2.11Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.67University of British Columbia-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.48University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Reynolds | 16.1% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% |
| Chloe Dawson | 42.6% | 25.4% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 16.3% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 10.2% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 22.3% | 15.4% |
| Laura Stewart | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 43.5% |
| Georg Lauritsen | 13.8% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.