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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.70+2.54vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.22vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+0.72vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.11-1.35vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.75-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of British Columbia0.700.1%1st Place
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3.22Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.74Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.65University of British Columbia-0.110.1%1st Place
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2.12Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georg Lauritsen | 12.0% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 14.2% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 17.5% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 22.0% | 16.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 11.5% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 16.4% |
| Laura Stewart | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 42.9% |
| Chloe Dawson | 41.0% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.