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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+7.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+4.70vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+3.91vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.70+2.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+4.66vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.58+0.87vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+1.61vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23-0.38vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+1.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.60vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.72-5.86vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.21-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.11-5.17vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.91-9.46vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-8.15vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy2.79-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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7.91Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.29Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.62Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.26Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| John Stokes | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Haley Powell | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 26.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| William Bowman | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| James Allsopp | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.