Race 1A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Greiner Hobbs 33.9% 25.0% 16.6% 9.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 10.1% 9.2% 12.5% 10.6% 12.4% 12.0% 9.8% 7.8% 6.9% 4.1% 2.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Nathaniel Johansson 9.4% 12.2% 11.4% 12.4% 11.0% 10.8% 10.3% 8.5% 6.3% 4.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
John Lawless 3.7% 6.0% 6.1% 8.4% 9.1% 8.9% 9.4% 10.8% 9.2% 9.9% 9.0% 6.3% 3.2%
Daniel Lawless 7.0% 6.5% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 5.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Robby Gearon 12.1% 12.1% 13.3% 12.2% 13.4% 10.3% 6.8% 8.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Korbin Kierstead 3.7% 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 6.4% 5.9% 6.4% 6.5% 8.8% 10.5% 14.8% 13.7% 13.6%
Lee Dumaliang 9.3% 10.8% 10.0% 11.9% 9.9% 10.8% 11.2% 10.4% 6.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Anders Ekholm 3.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.6% 6.9% 10.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.6% 10.0% 8.6% 7.2%
Tyler Rochon 1.3% 2.3% 1.4% 3.6% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 5.3% 8.4% 8.5% 11.4% 17.9% 30.7%
Colton Gerber 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 5.3% 5.6% 7.1% 6.1% 8.0% 9.7% 11.9% 12.9% 14.1% 11.9%
Alexander Singh 2.1% 3.5% 4.9% 4.3% 4.4% 5.6% 8.1% 8.4% 9.7% 10.8% 14.9% 13.6% 9.7%
Paul Hart 1.9% 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 8.7% 11.2% 11.9% 16.7% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.