Race 2A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Max Neubelt 9.3% 10.4% 12.1% 11.9% 11.4% 11.6% 9.8% 7.7% 7.5% 4.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Greiner Hobbs 35.9% 23.7% 18.1% 9.2% 6.1% 3.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Johansson 8.7% 11.8% 12.8% 11.8% 11.5% 11.6% 10.2% 7.0% 6.9% 4.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.3%
John Lawless 3.6% 6.0% 6.2% 8.0% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 9.9% 9.6% 9.2% 10.1% 5.7% 3.2%
Lee Dumaliang 9.2% 11.1% 11.8% 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 12.0% 9.4% 6.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Robby Gearon 12.4% 12.5% 10.6% 15.1% 11.9% 9.9% 10.1% 6.0% 5.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3%
Anders Ekholm 5.0% 3.9% 5.7% 6.2% 6.1% 7.5% 7.8% 10.7% 9.7% 11.6% 11.2% 10.6% 4.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.3% 8.0% 5.8% 10.7% 9.6% 11.1% 10.2% 10.9% 8.9% 7.1% 5.9% 3.9% 1.6%
Colton Gerber 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 4.7% 7.1% 7.4% 9.7% 12.1% 13.6% 13.2% 15.6%
Tyler Rochon 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.7% 3.0% 3.6% 6.2% 6.7% 8.8% 11.0% 18.8% 30.1%
Alexander Singh 2.2% 2.8% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 6.9% 7.2% 9.9% 11.6% 11.3% 11.3% 12.2% 8.1%
Korbin Kierstead 1.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.6% 6.5% 5.5% 5.2% 7.1% 8.5% 11.6% 13.3% 15.1% 15.7%
Paul Hart 1.5% 1.8% 3.5% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 6.1% 6.8% 8.8% 11.6% 12.5% 16.7% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.