Race 3A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Max Neubelt 9.1% 11.5% 12.1% 10.2% 11.4% 12.7% 8.5% 9.2% 6.2% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Greiner Hobbs 35.2% 24.2% 16.8% 10.3% 5.9% 4.3% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 9.4% 13.2% 13.6% 12.9% 12.7% 10.5% 8.7% 7.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Tyler Rochon 1.6% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 7.3% 9.1% 11.3% 18.4% 30.4%
Nathaniel Johansson 10.3% 12.2% 12.3% 11.5% 10.4% 10.5% 11.1% 8.2% 5.8% 3.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Daniel Lawless 7.2% 6.5% 7.8% 9.7% 8.7% 11.0% 11.0% 10.5% 8.7% 6.4% 7.1% 3.8% 1.6%
John Lawless 6.0% 4.8% 7.2% 7.5% 9.3% 8.9% 9.8% 9.4% 10.3% 10.5% 7.7% 5.8% 2.8%
Anders Ekholm 4.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 9.5% 9.5% 11.2% 12.0% 11.3% 8.0% 5.1%
Korbin Kierstead 2.5% 3.6% 2.7% 4.5% 3.5% 5.4% 6.0% 8.5% 9.8% 11.1% 13.2% 15.0% 14.2%
Lee Dumaliang 9.2% 10.1% 10.6% 11.8% 12.0% 10.4% 8.6% 8.3% 7.2% 6.0% 2.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Colton Gerber 1.7% 2.0% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 5.9% 6.7% 9.2% 8.4% 12.6% 11.1% 13.3% 13.8%
Alexander Singh 2.3% 3.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 7.7% 7.0% 11.0% 10.0% 13.4% 14.0% 10.3%
Paul Hart 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 9.9% 14.6% 16.4% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.