Race 6A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Max Neubelt 9.6% 9.8% 12.3% 11.2% 12.1% 11.6% 10.2% 6.5% 7.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Daniel Lawless 5.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.5% 9.2% 10.5% 10.2% 9.6% 10.3% 8.0% 6.1% 4.0% 1.8%
Robby Gearon 9.3% 14.1% 12.8% 12.5% 11.6% 11.3% 9.8% 6.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Greiner Hobbs 35.4% 22.7% 16.8% 10.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathaniel Johansson 11.2% 12.1% 11.8% 11.0% 11.5% 10.7% 10.4% 9.1% 5.0% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Lee Dumaliang 8.6% 11.4% 10.0% 11.4% 12.7% 10.5% 8.8% 8.2% 7.6% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Alexander Singh 4.0% 3.0% 3.9% 5.9% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 8.8% 10.0% 11.1% 12.1% 14.5% 7.7%
John Lawless 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 7.2% 7.7% 9.9% 9.0% 12.3% 9.5% 9.3% 8.5% 6.3% 2.3%
Tyler Rochon 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.5% 8.1% 12.8% 16.5% 32.7%
Korbin Kierstead 2.7% 3.5% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.7% 6.9% 8.7% 9.2% 11.1% 12.9% 15.5% 13.0%
Anders Ekholm 3.3% 3.7% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 7.4% 8.7% 10.6% 10.8% 12.1% 10.9% 6.8% 4.9%
Paul Hart 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 8.3% 11.8% 12.9% 16.4% 21.4%
Colton Gerber 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 11.0% 13.9% 14.9% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.