Race 7A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathaniel Johansson 9.6% 11.6% 13.4% 10.0% 12.1% 11.1% 9.2% 9.6% 5.8% 4.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Greiner Hobbs 35.7% 24.7% 15.4% 10.2% 6.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 9.7% 12.1% 14.4% 12.0% 11.3% 12.4% 8.9% 7.3% 5.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Daniel Lawless 6.0% 7.8% 6.2% 10.1% 11.0% 9.7% 9.0% 11.5% 8.5% 7.9% 7.2% 4.0% 1.1%
John Lawless 5.1% 6.0% 7.7% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 8.7% 9.1% 12.2% 8.2% 8.6% 5.8% 3.0%
Lee Dumaliang 9.6% 9.4% 10.7% 14.0% 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 7.4% 7.7% 5.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Max Neubelt 10.3% 11.2% 12.1% 11.2% 10.9% 10.5% 11.2% 7.8% 5.5% 5.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Paul Hart 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 12.9% 18.5% 17.7%
Anders Ekholm 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 9.2% 9.1% 9.4% 12.6% 11.4% 8.5% 7.0%
Alexander Singh 3.2% 3.4% 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% 6.5% 8.9% 8.4% 11.0% 10.5% 12.0% 11.6% 10.9%
Korbin Kierstead 2.2% 2.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 8.8% 10.2% 11.7% 13.1% 13.3% 11.3%
Colton Gerber 1.8% 3.2% 2.3% 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 6.3% 8.5% 6.7% 11.4% 14.2% 16.0% 14.6%
Tyler Rochon 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 2.3% 4.6% 5.3% 6.2% 9.8% 10.9% 17.8% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.