Race 8A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Greiner Hobbs 34.2% 24.8% 17.2% 9.7% 7.5% 2.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lee Dumaliang 8.5% 8.7% 10.2% 13.0% 10.6% 12.3% 9.8% 7.8% 8.4% 5.6% 2.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Nathaniel Johansson 10.2% 10.8% 13.0% 11.2% 10.6% 12.5% 9.4% 8.4% 6.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Max Neubelt 9.3% 10.4% 12.9% 11.1% 13.5% 9.1% 9.4% 8.2% 7.4% 3.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.5%
John Lawless 5.6% 5.5% 6.4% 9.2% 7.0% 9.5% 10.3% 8.3% 11.4% 9.5% 8.5% 6.2% 2.6%
Daniel Lawless 6.5% 8.2% 7.7% 9.9% 9.4% 10.1% 10.8% 9.3% 8.6% 7.1% 7.2% 3.6% 1.6%
Alexander Singh 4.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 8.3% 9.5% 13.5% 11.3% 12.5% 9.5%
Tyler Rochon 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 6.9% 5.8% 8.3% 13.4% 16.7% 31.0%
Anders Ekholm 3.1% 5.0% 4.9% 4.7% 7.3% 7.4% 9.0% 10.0% 9.3% 12.6% 10.6% 9.0% 7.1%
Colton Gerber 2.7% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.1% 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 8.3% 12.7% 15.7% 14.9%
Paul Hart 2.0% 1.6% 3.4% 3.9% 5.0% 5.2% 5.1% 7.9% 8.1% 13.0% 12.6% 15.6% 16.6%
Robby Gearon 10.1% 14.1% 10.8% 12.5% 12.8% 10.5% 10.0% 6.7% 6.0% 2.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Korbin Kierstead 2.2% 2.0% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.7% 7.2% 8.3% 8.4% 11.5% 13.5% 15.2% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.