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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+7.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+9.90vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+3.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.79+8.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.72+3.21vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+1.46vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.90+0.46vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-0.12vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.23+1.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.65vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.21-1.44vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54+0.50vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.58-5.32vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-3.66vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-6.33vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.70-8.62vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-9.83vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.11-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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7.88Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.31Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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8.17Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| John Stokes | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| James Allsopp | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 15.6% |
| Cameron Hall | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| William Bowman | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 26.5% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% |
| Ike Babbitt | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.